PredictionHardwareDelivered

Honeywell to grow its quantum volume tenfold every year for five years

Due 2025

Honeywell said in March 2020 that its trapped-ion quantum computer would launch with a quantum volume (a performance benchmark devised by IBM) of at least 64, and that it was on track to raise that figure tenfold every year for the next five years.

Predicted by
Honeywell
Type
Official company roadmap
Said on
Mar 3, 2020
Original deadline
each year for the next five years (2025)
Status
Delivered

Outcome

May 12, 2025: In May 2025 Quantinuum, which counts this 2020 Honeywell pledge as its own, reported a quantum volume of 8,388,608 (2^23) on its H2 system. Tenfold yearly growth from 64 over five years would reach 6.4 million. The figure is reported by the company.

Outcome sources

Quantinuum

See it on the timeline

Source

  • Honeywell Honeywell Achieves Breakthrough That Will Enable The World's Most Powerful Quantum Computer
    Primary sourceMar 3, 2020
    “When released, Honeywell's quantum computer will have a quantum volume of at least 64, twice that of the next alternative in the industry. In a scientific paper that will be posted to the online repository arXiv later today and is available now on Honeywell's website, Honeywell has demonstrated its quantum charge coupled device (QCCD) architecture, a major technical breakthrough in accelerating quantum capability. The company also announced it is on a trajectory to increase its computer's quantum volume by an order of magnitude each year for the next five years.”

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