PredictionQuantum advantagePending
IBM expects verified quantum advantage by the end of 2026
Due 2026
IBM says the first cases of quantum advantage, where a quantum computer solves a problem better than all classical-only methods, will arrive in 2026 and be confirmed by the wider research community by the end of that year.
- Predicted by
- Jay Gambetta (IBM)
- Type
- Official company roadmap
- Said on
- May 2025
- Original deadline
- by the end of 2026 (2026)
- Status
- Pending
Sources (3)
-
IBM Research
What's next in computing is generative and quantum
“"We believe quantum advantage will actually happen in 2026," said IBM Research VP of Quantum Computing Jay Gambetta from the 2025 Think stage.”
-
IBM Quantum Blog
IBM lays out clear path to fault-tolerant quantum computing
“These quantum computers will be able to deliver quantum advantage by the end of 2026 with the help of the classical high-performance computing (HPC) community.”
-
IBM Newsroom
IBM Delivers New Quantum Processors, Software, and Algorithm Breakthroughs on Path to Advantage and Fault Tolerance
“IBM anticipates that the first cases of verified quantum advantage will be confirmed by the wider community by the end of 2026.”
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