PredictionQuantum advantageWithdrawn
Jensen Huang: very useful quantum computers are 15 to 30 years away
Due 2045
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang told analysts that 15 years until very useful quantum computers would probably be on the early side and 30 on the late side, adding that many people would believe 20 years, which points to about 2045.
- Predicted by
- Jensen Huang (NVIDIA)
- Type
- Company executive
- Said on
- Jan 7, 2025
- Original deadline
- 15 to 30 years; 20 seen as likely (2045)
- Status
- Withdrawn
- Counts toward
- the Quantum Supremacy estimate
Outcome
Mar 20, 2025: At NVIDIA's Quantum Day on 20 March 2025, Huang said his January comments came out wrong and called the event a chance for quantum executives to explain why he was wrong. He did not give a new date.
Outcome sources
-
CNBC
Nvidia CEO Huang says he was wrong about timeline for quantum, surprised his comments hurt stocks
“At Nvidia's "Quantum Day" event, part of the company's annual GTC Conference, Huang admitted that his comments came out wrong. "This is the first event in history where a company CEO invites all of the guests to explain why he was wrong," Huang said.”
Related
Sources (2)
-
CNBC
Quantum stocks like Rigetti plunge after Nvidia's Huang says the computers are 15 to 30 years away
“"If you said 15 years for very useful quantum computers, that would probably be on the early side," he said during Nvidia's analyst day. "If you said 30, it's probably on the late side. But if you picked 20, I think a whole bunch of us would believe it."”
-
The Quantum Insider
NVIDIA CEO's Predictions Rain on Quantum Stock Parade
“In a question-and-answer session with analysts, Huang said that “very useful” quantum computing was a few decades away.”
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